閲嶆叾閱�(y墨)绉戝ぇ瀛�(xu茅) 2021 骞�纰╁＋鐮旂┒鐢�鎷涚敓鑰冭│鑰冭│澶х侗

432 绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)

鈪狅紟鑰冭│鎬ц唱(zh矛)
绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)鑰冭│鏄偤楂樼瓑闄㈡牎鍜岀鐮旈櫌鎵€鎷涙敹鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄧ当(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)灏堟キ(y猫)纰╁＋鐮旂┒鐢�鑰岃ō(sh猫)
缃叿鏈夐伕鎷旀€ц唱(zh矛)鐨勮€冭│绉戠洰锛屽叾鐩殑鏄瀛�(xu茅)銆佸叕骞�銆佹湁鏁堝湴娓│鑰冪敓鏄惁鍏峰倷鏀�
璁€鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄧ当(t菕ng)瑷堝皥妤�(y猫)纰╁＋瀛�(xu茅)浣嶆墍闇€瑕佸熀绀�(ch菙)鐭ヨ瓨鍜屾妧鑳斤紝瑭曞児鐨勬(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)鏄珮绛夊(xu茅)鏍＄浉闂�(gu膩n)灏�
妤�(y猫)鍎�(y艒u)绉€鏈鐣㈡キ(y猫)鐢熻兘閬�(d谩)鍒扮殑鍙婃牸鎴栧強鏍间互涓婃按骞�锛屼互鍒╀簬鍚勯珮绛夐櫌鏍″拰绉戠爺闄㈡墍
鎿囧劒(y艒u)閬告嫈锛岀⒑淇�纰╁＋鐮旂┒鐢�鐨勬嫑鐢熻唱(zh矛)閲�銆�
鈪★紟鑰冩煡鐩(bi膩o)
瑕佹眰鑰冪敓绯荤当(t菕ng)鎺屾彙绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)涓殑鍩烘湰鐞嗚珫銆佸熀鏈煡璀樺拰鍩烘湰鎶€鑳斤紝鑳藉閬�(y霉n)鐢ㄦ墍
瀛�(xu茅)鐨勫熀鏈悊璜�銆佸熀鏈煡璀樺拰鍩烘湰鎶€鑳界稖鍚堝垎鏋�銆佸垽鏂峰拰瑙ｆ焙鏈夐棞(gu膩n)鐞嗚珫鍟忛鍜屽闅�
鍟忛銆�
鈪紟鑰冭│褰㈠紡鍜岃│鍗风祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)
涓€銆佽│鍗锋豢鍒嗗強鑰冭│鏅傞枔
鏈│鍗锋豢鍒嗙偤 150 鍒�锛岃€冭│鏅傞枔鐐� 180 鍒嗛悩銆�
浜屻€佺瓟椤屾柟寮�
绛旈鏂瑰紡鐐洪枆鍗�銆佺瓎瑭�銆�
涓�銆佽│鍗峰収(n猫i)瀹圭祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)
鐮旂┒瑷�(sh猫)瑷� 绱� 15%
鍠畩閲忕当(t菕ng)瑷堟弿杩� 绱� 20%
鍏朵腑 绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝湒琛� 绱� 5%
鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)鐨勬鎷€у害閲� 绱� 15%
鍠畩閲忕当(t菕ng)瑷堟帹鏂� 绱� 40%
鍏朵腑 瀹氶噺璩囨枡绲�(t菕ng)瑷堟帹鏂� 绱� 25%
瀹氭€ц硣鏂欒垏绛夌礆璩囨枡绲�(t菕ng)瑷堟帹鏂� 绱� 15%
闆欒畩閲忕殑绶氭€у洖姝歌垏鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鍒嗘瀽 绱� 10%
澶氬厓绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝垎鏋愭柟娉� 绱� 15%
鍥涖€佽│鍗烽鍨嬬祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)
1

  
 
鍚嶈瑙ｉ噵 1~5 灏忛锛屾瘡灏忛 5 鍒嗭紝鍏� 25 鍒�
鍠爡閬告搰 绗� 6~20 灏忛锛屾瘡灏忛 2 鍒�锛屽叡 30 鍒�
濉┖ 绗� 21~30 灏忛锛�10 鍊嬬┖锛屾瘡绌� 1 鍒�锛屽叡 10 鍒�
缍滃悎鎳�(y墨ng)鐢� 绗� 31~40 灏忛 姣忓皬椤� 6~10 鍒�锛屽叡 85 鍒�
鈪ｏ紟鑰冩煡鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
涓€銆佺当(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)鍩烘湰姒傚康
1.鍚岃唱(zh矛)鑸囪畩鐣�
2.绺介珨鑸囨ǎ鏈�銆�
3.鍙冩暩(sh霉)鑸囩当(t菕ng)瑷堥噺銆�
4.绯荤当(t菕ng)瑾ゅ樊鑸囬毃姗�(j墨)瑾ゅ樊銆�
5.闋荤巼鑸囨鐜�銆�
6.瀹氶噺璩囨枡銆佸畾鎬ц硣鏂�銆佺瓑绱氳硣鏂�銆�
浜�銆佺爺绌惰ō(sh猫)瑷�
1.瀵﹂鐮旂┒瑷�(sh猫)瑷堬細鍩烘湰姒傚康銆佸熀鏈绱犺垏鍩烘湰鍘熷墖銆傚父鐢ㄨō(sh猫)瑷堟柟妗堬細瀹屽叏闅�
姗�(j墨)瑷�(sh猫)瑷堛€侀厤灏嶈ō(sh猫)瑷�銆侀毃姗�(j墨)鍗€(q奴)绲勮ō(sh猫)瑷堛€佹瀽鍥犺ō(sh猫)瑷�銆�
2.瑾�(di脿o)鏌ョ爺绌惰ō(sh猫)瑷堬細鍩烘湰姒傚康銆佸熀鏈娊妯ｆ柟娉曘€佹ǎ鏈噺浼扮畻銆�
涓�銆佺当(t菕ng)瑷堟弿杩�
(涓€) 瀹氶噺璩囨枡绲�(t菕ng)瑷堟弿杩�
1.闆嗕腑瓒ㄥ嫝鐨勬弿杩帮細绠楄(sh霉)骞冲潎鏁�(sh霉)銆佸咕浣曞潎鏁�(sh霉)銆佷腑浣嶆暩(sh霉)
2.闆㈡暎绋嬪害鐨勬弿杩帮細妤靛樊銆佸洓鍒嗕綅鏁�(sh霉)闁撹窛銆佹柟宸�銆佹(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)宸拰璁婄暟绯绘暩(sh霉)銆�
(浜�) 瀹氭€ц硣鏂欑当(t菕ng)瑷堟弿杩�
1.甯哥敤鐩稿皪鏁�(sh霉)鎸囨(bi膩o)锛氱巼銆佹瘮銆佹瘮渚�銆�
2.鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄧ浉灏嶆暩(sh霉)鎸囨(bi膩o)鎳�(y墨ng)娉ㄦ剰鐨勫晱椤屻€�
3.鐜囩殑妯�(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)鍖�銆�
(涓�)绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝湒琛�
鍥涖€佸父瑕嬫鐜囧垎甯�
锛堜竴锛夋鎱�(t脿i)鍒嗗竷
1.姝ｆ厠(t脿i)鍒嗗竷鐨勫熀鏈壒寰�銆佹鎱�(t脿i)鍒嗗竷鏇茬窔涓嬬殑闈㈢⿳鍒嗗竷瑕�(gu墨)寰嬨€佹(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)鍒嗗竷銆�
2

  
 
2.閱�(y墨)瀛�(xu茅)鍙冭€冨€艰寖鍦�銆�
锛堜簩锛変簩闋呭垎甯�
1.浜岄爡鍒嗗竷鐨勬蹇靛拰鐗瑰緛銆�
2. 浜岄爡鍒嗗竷鐨勬噳(y墨ng)鐢�
锛堜笁锛塒oisson 鍒嗗竷
1.Poisson 鍒嗗竷鐨勬蹇靛拰鐗瑰緛銆�
2.Poisson 鍒嗗竷鐨勬噳(y墨ng)鐢�銆�
浜斻€佺当(t菕ng)瑷堟帹鏂�
(涓€)鍙冩暩(sh霉)浼拌▓
1.鎶芥ǎ鍒嗗竷鑸囨娊妯ｈ宸細妯ｆ湰鍧囨暩(sh霉)鐨勬娊妯ｅ垎甯冭垏鎶芥ǎ瑾ゅ樊銆佹ǎ鏈巼鐨勬娊妯ｅ垎
甯冭垏鎶芥ǎ瑾ゅ樊銆�
2.绺介珨鍧囨暩(sh霉)鐨勪及瑷堬細t 鍒嗗竷銆佺附楂斿潎鏁�(sh霉)鐨勯粸浼拌▓鑸囧崁(q奴)闁撲及瑷�銆�
3.绺介珨鐜囩殑浼拌▓锛氱附楂旂巼鐨勯粸浼拌▓鑸囧崁(q奴)闁撲及瑷堛€�
(浜�)鍋囪ō(sh猫)妾㈤
1.鍋囪ō(sh猫)妾㈤锛氭蹇�銆佸熀鏈椹熴€佸叐椤為尟瑾ゅ強娉ㄦ剰鍟忛銆�
2.t 妾㈤锛氬柈妯ｆ湰鍧囨暩(sh霉)鐨� t 妾㈤鍙婃噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆侀厤灏嶆ǎ鏈潎鏁�(sh霉)鐨� t 妾㈤鍙婃噳(y墨ng)鐢�
姊濅欢銆佸叐鐛ㄧ珛妯ｆ湰鍧囨暩(sh霉)鐨� t 妾㈤鍙婃噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆�
3.鏂瑰樊鍒嗘瀽锛氭柟宸垎鏋愮殑鍩烘湰鎬濇兂鑸囨噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆佸畬鍏ㄩ毃姗�(j墨)瑷�(sh猫)瑷堣硣鏂欑殑鏂瑰樊鍒�
鏋�銆侀毃姗�(j墨)鍗€(q奴)绲勮ō(sh猫)瑷堣硣鏂欑殑鏂瑰樊鍒嗘瀽銆佸鍊嬫ǎ鏈潎鏁�(sh霉)闁撶殑澶氶噸姣旇純銆�
4. 
2
妾㈤锛氬洓鏍艰〃璩囨枡鐨�  妾㈤鑸囨噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆侀厤灏嶅洓鏍艰〃璩囨枡鐨�  妾㈤
2 2
妾㈤鑸囨噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆佸鍊嬫ǎ鏈巼鐨勫閲嶆瘮杓�銆�
鑸囨噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆佽鍒楄〃璩囨枡鐨� 
2
5.鍩轰簬绉╂鐨勫亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤鏂规硶锛氬熀鏈€濇兂銆佹暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)鐗归粸銆�
鍏�銆佺洿绶氬洖姝歌垏鐩搁棞(gu膩n)
(涓€) 鐩寸窔鍥炴
1.鐩寸窔鍥炴姒傚康銆佸洖姝稿弮鏁�(sh霉)鐨勪及瑷堛€佸洖姝告ā鍨嬪強鍙冩暩(sh霉)鐨勫亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤銆佹噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆�
2.鐩寸窔鍥炴鐨勬噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄥ強鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄤ腑娉ㄦ剰浜嬮爡銆�
(浜�)鐩寸窔鐩搁棞(gu膩n)
1.鐩寸窔鐩搁棞(gu膩n)绯绘暩(sh霉)鐨勬剰缇╁強鍋囪ō(sh猫)妾㈤銆佹噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠�銆�
2.Spearman 鐩搁棞(gu膩n)銆�
3

  
 
涓�銆佸鍏冪当(t菕ng)瑷堝垎鏋愭柟娉�
锛堜竴锛夊閲嶇窔鎬у洖姝�
1.鍥炴妯″瀷鍩烘湰鎬濇兂銆佸弮鏁�(sh霉)浼拌▓鍙婂亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤銆�
2.鍥炴妯″瀷鐨勮畩閲忕閬�銆�
3.鍥炴妯″瀷鐨勭敤閫斿強娉ㄦ剰浜嬮爡銆�
锛堜簩锛塋ogistic 鍥炴
1.Logistic 鍥炴妯″瀷鍩烘湰姒傚康銆�
2.Logistic 鍥炴绯绘暩(sh霉)鐨勬祦琛岀梾瀛�(xu茅)鎰忕京銆�
3.鍥炴妯″瀷鐨勭敤閫斿強娉ㄦ剰浜嬮爡銆�
锛堜笁锛夌敓瀛樺垎鏋�
1.鐢熷瓨鍒嗘瀽鍩烘湰姒傚康銆�
2.鐢熷瓨鏇茬窔浼拌▓鏂规硶鍙婃瘮杓冦€�
3.Cox 鍥炴妯″瀷鍩烘湰姒傚康銆佺敤閫斿強娉ㄦ剰浜嬮爡銆�
鍙冭€冩浉寤鸿锛氥€婅(w猫i)鐢熺当(t菕ng)瑷堝(xu茅)銆嬶紙涓荤法锛氭潕鏇夋澗锛岀 8 鐗堬紝浜烘皯琛�(w猫i)鐢熷嚭鐗堢ぞ锛�
4