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2锛庢秷璨�(f猫i)鍑芥暩(sh霉)鑸囧劜(ch菙)钃勫嚱鏁�(sh霉)
娑堣不(f猫i)鍑芥暩(sh霉)鍙婂叾鍦栧舰锛屽钩琛℃秷璨�(f猫i)鍌惧悜锛圓PC锛�锛岄倞闅涙秷璨�(f猫i)鍌惧悜锛圡PC锛�锛屽劜(ch菙)钃勫嚱鏁�(sh霉)鍙婂叾鍦�
褰�锛屽钩鍧囧劜(ch菙)钃勫偩鍚戯紙APS锛夛紝閭婇殯鍎�(ch菙)钃勫偩鍚戯紙MPS锛�锛屾秷璨�(f猫i)鍑芥暩(sh霉)鑸囧劜(ch菙)钃勫嚱鏁�(sh霉)鐨勯棞(gu膩n)绯�銆�
3. 闂�(gu膩n)浜庢秷璨�(f猫i)鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勫叾浠栫悊璜�
鐩稿皪(du矛)鏀跺叆璜�锛屾杓晥鎳�(y墨ng)鑸囩ず鑼冩晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛岀敓鍛藉懆鏈熻珫锛屾案涔呮敹鍏ヨ珫锛屽奖闊挎秷璨�(f猫i)鐨勫叾浠栧洜绱犮€�
4锛庡湅(gu贸)姘戞敹鍏ョ殑姹哄畾鍙婅畩鍕�(d貌ng)
鍏╅儴闁€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)涓殑鏀跺叆姹哄畾锛屼笁閮ㄩ杸缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)涓殑鏀跺叆姹哄畾锛屽洓閮ㄩ杸缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)涓殑鏀跺叆姹哄畾銆�
5锛庝箻鏁�(sh霉)璜�
鎶曡硣涔樻暩(sh霉)锛屾斂搴滄敮鍑轰箻鏁�(sh霉)锛岀▍鏀朵箻鏁�(sh霉)锛屾斂搴滆綁(zhu菐n)绉绘敮浠樹箻鏁�(sh霉)锛屽钩琛￠爯(y霉)绠椾箻鏁�(sh霉)锛屽皪(du矛)澶栬部(m脿o)鏄撲箻
鏁�(sh霉)锛屼箻鏁�(sh霉)浣滅敤鐨勬(j墨)鍒惰垏姊濅欢銆�
锛堜笁锛夌敘(ch菐n)鍝佸競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍜岃波骞ｅ競鍫�(ch菐ng)鐨勪竴鑸潎琛�(IS-LM 妯″瀷锛�
1锛庢姇璩囩殑姹哄畾
鎶曡硣鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛屽(sh铆)闅涘埄鐜囪垏鎶曡硣锛岃硣鏈倞闅涙晥鐜�锛屾墭璩撶殑鈥渜鈥濇硶鍓�銆�
2锛嶪S 鏇茬窔
IS 鏇茬窔鍙婂叾鎺ㄥ皫(d菐o)锛孖S 鏇茬窔鐨勬枩鐜�锛孖S 鏇茬窔鐨勭Щ鍕�(d貌ng)銆�
3锛庡埄鐜囩殑姹哄畾
璨ㄥ梗闇€姹傚嫊(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)锛堜氦鏄撳嫊(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)銆佽(j菒n)鎱庡嫊(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)銆佹姇姗�(j墨)鍕�(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)锛�锛屾祦鍕�(d貌ng)鎬ч櫡闃�锛岃波骞ｉ渶姹傚嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛岃波骞�
闇€姹傜殑瀛樿波璜栧拰鎶曟(j墨)璜�锛岃波骞ｄ緵姹傚潎琛″拰鍒╃巼鐨勬焙瀹�銆�
4锛嶭M 鏇茬窔
LM 鏇茬窔鍙婂叾鎺ㄥ皫(d菐o)锛孡M 鏇茬窔鐨勬枩鐜�锛孡M 鏇茬窔鐨勭Щ鍕�(d貌ng)銆�
5锛嶪S锛峀M 妯″瀷
鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佸競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍜岃波骞ｅ競鍫�(ch菐ng)鐨勪竴鑸潎琛¤垏闈炲潎琛�锛屽潎琛℃敹鍏ュ拰鍒╃巼鐨勮畩鍕�(d貌ng)锛孖S锛峀M 妯″瀷鐨勫収(n猫i)
瀹瑰強鍏舵斂绛栧惈缇�锛屽嚤鎭╂柉鐞嗚珫鐨勫熀鏈鏋�銆�
锛堝洓锛夊畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏀跨瓥
1锛庤病(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛栧拰璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥
璨�(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛栧強鍏舵晥鏋�锛屾摖鍑烘晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛岃病(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛栫殑鏈夋晥鎬�锛涜波骞ｆ斂绛栧強鍏舵晥鏋滐紝璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥鐨勬湁
鏁堟€ц垏灞€闄愭€�锛岃波骞ｅ够瑕�(ju茅)锛涘嚤鎭╂柉妤电鎯呮硜锛屽彜鍏告サ绔儏娉�锛涜病(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛栧拰璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥娣峰悎浣跨敤
鐨勬斂绛栨晥鎳�(y墨ng)銆�
2锛庡畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏀跨瓥瀵�(sh铆)韪�
瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏀跨瓥鐨勫洓澶х洰妯�(bi膩o)锛堢稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)銆佸厖鍒嗗氨妤�(y猫)銆佸児(ji脿)鏍肩┅(w臎n)瀹�銆佸湅(gu贸)闅涙敹鏀钩琛★級銆傝病(c谩i)鏀挎斂
绛栧伐鍏峰強鍏堕亱(y霉n)鐢�锛岃嚜鍕�(d貌ng)绌�(w臎n)瀹氬櫒锛岀⿳妤碉紙鏂熼厡浣跨敤锛夌殑璨�(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛�锛屽姛鑳借病(c谩i)鏀�锛屽厖鍒嗗氨妤�(y猫)鐨勯爯(y霉)绠�
鐩堜綑锛岃病(c谩i)鏀胯丹瀛楄垏鍏偟锛屽垎绱�(j铆)璨�(c谩i)鏀块珨鍒�銆傝波骞ｆ斂绛栧伐鍏峰強鍏堕亱(y霉n)鐢紝绌嶆サ鐨勮波骞ｆ斂绛�锛屽柈涓€瑕�(gu墨)
鍓囩殑璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥锛涘瓨娆惧壍(chu脿ng)閫犺垏璨ㄥ梗渚涚郸锛屽瓨娆炬簴(zh菙n)鍌欓噾锛屾硶瀹氭簴(zh菙n)鍌欑巼锛岃秴椤嶆簴(zh菙n)鍌欓噾锛岃波骞ｅ壍(chu脿ng)閫犱箻
鏁�(sh霉)锛屽熀绀�(ch菙)璨ㄥ梗锛屽偟鍒稿児(ji脿)鏍艰垏鍒╃巼鐨勯棞(gu膩n)绯�锛屽啀璨肩従(xi脿n)鐜囷紝鍏枊(k膩i)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)锛岄亾缇╁嫺鍛婏紙绐楀彛鎸囧皫(d菐o)锛�銆�
璀夊埜涓€绱�(j铆)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)鑸囦簩绱�(j铆)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)锛岃偂鍍�(ji脿)鎸囨暩(sh霉)锛屽競鐩堢巼锛岀郴绲�(t菕ng)鎬чⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)鑸囬潪绯荤当(t菕ng)鎬чⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)锛屾湡璨ㄨ垏鏈熸瑠(qu谩n)锛�
澧婇牠浜ゆ槗锛岃卜绌鸿垏璩ｇ┖銆�
锛堜簲锛夌附闇€姹傗€旂附渚涚郸妯″瀷
1锛庣附闇€姹傛洸绶�
绺介渶姹傦紙AD锛�锛岀附闇€姹傚嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛岀附闇€姹傛洸绶氱殑鎺ㄥ皫(d菐o)锛岀附闇€姹傛洸绶氱殑绉诲嫊(d貌ng)锛屽(sh铆)闅涜波骞ｄ綑椤嶆晥
鎳�(y墨ng)锛堝簢鍙ゆ晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛夈€�
2锛庣附渚涚郸鏇茬窔
绺戒緵绲︼紙AS锛�锛岀附閲忕敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍔涘競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍧囪 鑸囧氨妤�(y猫)閲忕殑姹哄畾锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熺附渚涚郸鏇茬窔锛岀煭
鏈熺附渚涚郸鏇茬窔锛屽彜鍏哥附渚涚郸鏇茬窔锛屽嚤鎭╂柉绺戒緵绲︽洸绶�銆�
3锛庣附闇€姹傗€旂附渚涚郸锛圓D-AS锛夋ā鍨�
绺介渶姹傗€旂附渚涚郸妯″瀷鍙婂叾鏀跨瓥鍚京锛岀附闇€姹傛洸绶氱Щ鍕�(d貌ng)鐨勬晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛岀附渚涚郸鏇茬窔绉诲嫊(d貌ng)鐨勬晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛�
渚涚郸娌栨搳锛屾化鑴�銆�
锛堝叚锛夊け妤�(y猫)鑸囬€氳波鑶ㄨ劰
1.澶辨キ(y猫)
鎽╂摝鎬уけ妤�(y猫)锛岀祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)鎬уけ妤�(y猫)锛屽懆鏈熸€уけ妤�(y猫)锛岃嚜鐒跺け妤�(y猫)鐜囷紝鑷効澶辨キ(y猫)锛岄潪鑷効澶辨キ(y猫)锛屽伐璩囩殑
闈堟椿鎬�銆佺矘鎬у拰鍓涙€э紝濂ц偗瀹氬緥銆�
2锛庨€氳波鑶ㄨ劰
閫氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛岄€氳波绶婄府锛岄€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鐨勫垎椤炪€傛秷璨�(f猫i)鑰呭児(ji脿)鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)锛圕PI锛�锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑰呭児(ji脿)鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)锛圥PI锛夛紝
GDP 鎶樼畻鎸囨暩(sh霉)銆備綔鐐鸿波骞ｇ従(xi脿n)璞＄殑閫氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛岄渶姹傛媺鍕�(d貌ng)鍨嬮€氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛屾垚鏈帹鍕�(d貌ng)鍨嬮€氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛�
绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)鎬ч€氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛岄€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鎱ｆ€э紙铻烘棆锛�锛涢€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鐨勭稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛堝啀鍒嗛厤鏁堟噳(y墨ng)銆佺敘(ch菐n)鍑烘晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛夛紱
鎶戝埗閫氳波鑶ㄨ劰鐨勬斂绛栧強鍏跺悗鏋�銆�
3锛庡け妤�(y猫)鑸囬€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鐨勯棞(gu膩n)绯�
鑿插埄鏅柉鏇茬窔鍙婂叾鏀跨瓥鍚京锛岄檮鍔犻爯(y霉)鏈熺殑鑿插埄娴︽柉鏇茬窔锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熻彶鍒╂郸鏂洸绶� 銆�
锛堜竷锛夐枊(k膩i)鏀剧殑瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)妯″瀷
1.鍖巼鑸囧湅(gu贸)闅涙敹鏀�
鍖巼鍙婂叾妯�(bi膩o)鍍�(ji脿)鏂规硶锛屽浐瀹氬尟鐜囧埗锛屾诞鍕�(d貌ng)鍖巼鍒跺強鍧囪 鍖巼鐨勬焙瀹�锛涜臣(g貌u)璨峰姏骞冲児(ji脿)锛屽悕缇╁尟
鐜囪垏瀵�(sh铆)闅涘尟鐜�锛涘噲鍑哄彛鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛岄Μ姝囩埦-鍕掔磵姊濅欢锛涘湅(gu贸)闅涙敹鏀钩琛¤〃锛岀稉(j墨ng)甯歌超鎴�锛岃硣鏈超鎴讹紱
鍑堣硣鏈祦鍑哄嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛涘湅(gu贸)闅涙敹鏀紙BP锛夋洸绶�銆�
2.闁�(k膩i)鏀炬浠朵笅鐨勫畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍧囪 锛圛S-LM-BP锛夋ā鍨�
IS-LM-BP 妯″瀷鐨勫惈缇╄垏骞句綍鍦栧舰锛岃挋浠ｇ埦-寮楄悐鏄庢ā鍨嬶紙璩囨湰瀹屽叏娴佸嫊(d貌ng)涓旀诞鍕�(d貌ng)鍖巼鍒跺害
涓嬬殑鍧囪 鑸囨斂绛栨晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛岃硣鏈畬鍏ㄦ祦鍕�(d貌ng)涓斿浐瀹氬尟鐜囧埗搴︿笅鐨勫潎琛¤垏鏀跨瓥鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛夈€�
3.瑾�(di脿o)鏁村収(n猫i)閮ㄥ潎琛″拰澶栭儴鍧囪 鐨勬斂绛�
锛堝叓锛夌稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍜岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡鐞嗚珫
1锛庣稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)
澧為暦(zh菐ng)鏍哥畻鏂圭▼锛屽叏瑕佺礌鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囷紙TFP锛夋垨绱㈡礇浣欓爡(xi脿ng)锛岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勫洜绱犲垎鏋�锛涙柊鍙ゅ吀澧為暦(zh菐ng)
妯″瀷绌�(w臎n)鎱�(t脿i)鍙婂叾鍚京锛岃硣鏈⿳绱拰鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ュ湪澧為暦(zh菐ng)涓殑浣滅敤锛涙柊澧為暦(zh菐ng)锛堝収(n猫i)鐢熷闀�(zh菐ng)锛夋ā鍨嬶紙AK
妯″瀷锛夛紱淇冮€�(j矛n)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勬斂绛�銆�
2锛庣稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡
缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡鐨勫惈缇�銆侀殠娈佃垏鐗瑰緛锛岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡鐨勯鍨�锛涗箻鏁�(sh霉)锛嶅姞閫熸暩(sh霉)妯″瀷锛屽姞閫熸暩(sh霉)鑸囧姞閫熷師
鐞�锛涘(sh铆)闅涚稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡锛圧BC锛夌悊璜栵紙鎶€琛�(sh霉)娌栨搳鐞嗚珫锛�銆�
锛堜節锛夋柊鍙ゅ吀瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鑸囨柊鍑辨仼鏂富缇╁畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勭埈(zh膿ng)璜�
1.鍙ゅ吀璨ㄥ梗鏁�(sh霉)閲忚珫锛屼氦鏄撴柟绋嬪紡锛屽妽姗嬫柟绋嬪紡锛岀従(xi脿n)浠ｈ波骞ｆ暩(sh霉)閲忚珫锛岀従(xi脿n)浠ｈ波骞ｄ富缇╃殑涓昏
瑙€榛�(di菐n)鍙婃斂绛栦富寮点€�
2.鏂板彜鍏稿畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勫熀鏈亣瑷�(sh猫)鍜屼富瑕佽榛�(di菐n)锛岀悊鎬ч爯(y霉)鏈熷亣瀹�锛屽競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍑烘竻锛岀洤鍗℃柉绺戒緵绲�
鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛屾斂绛栫劇(w煤)鏁堣珫銆�
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