|
鍙嬫儏鎻愮ず锛氭湰绔欐彁渚涘叏鍦�(gu贸)400澶氭墍楂樼瓑闄㈡牎鎷涙敹纰╁＋銆佸崥澹爺绌剁敓鍏ュ(xu茅)鑰冭│姝峰勾鑰冪爺鐪熼銆佽€冨崥鐪熼銆佺瓟妗�锛岄儴鍒嗗(xu茅)鏍℃洿鏂拌嚦2012骞�锛�2013骞�锛涘潎鎻愪緵鏀惰不(f猫i)涓嬭級銆� 涓嬭級娴佺▼锛� 鑰冪爺鐪熼 榛�(di菐n)鎿娾€�鑰冪爺瑭﹀嵎鈥濃€濅笅杓�; 鑰冨崥鐪熼 榛�(di菐n)鎿娾€�鑰冨崥瑭﹀嵎搴�(k霉)鈥� 涓嬭級
2017 骞磋彲涓鎶€澶у(xu茅)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)闄㈢ⅸ澹爺绌剁敓鍏ュ(xu茅)鑰冭│
銆婄稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)缍滃悎銆嬭€冭│澶х侗
(灏堟キ(y猫)浠ｇ⒓锛�853)
绗竴閮ㄥ垎 鑰冭│瑾�(shu艒)鏄�
涓€銆佽€冭│鎬ц唱(zh矛)
寰缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)銆佸畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鍜岃▓(j矛)閲忕稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鏄垜鏍℃墍鏈夌稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)灏堟キ(y猫)纰╁＋鐢熷繀鑰冪殑灏堟キ(y猫)鍩虹(ch菙)瑾�銆傚叾鑰�
瑭﹁姹傞仈(d谩)鍒伴珮绛夊(xu茅)鏍″劒(y艒u)绉€鏈鐣㈡キ(y猫)鐢熺殑姘村钩锛屼互淇濊瓑琚寗鍙栬€呭叿鏈夎純濂界殑缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐞嗚珫鍩虹(ch菙)銆�
浜屻€佽€冭│褰㈠紡鑸囪│鍗风祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)
锛堜竴锛夌瓟鍗锋柟寮忥細闁夊嵎锛岀瓎瑭�
锛堜簩锛夌瓟椤屾檪(sh铆)闁�锛�180 鍒嗛悩
锛堜笁锛夊悇閮ㄥ垎鍏�(n猫i)瀹圭殑鑰冭│姣斾緥
寰缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅) 50 鍒�
瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅) 50 鍒�
瑷�(j矛)閲忕稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅) 50 鍒�
锛堝洓锛夐鍨嬫瘮渚�
寰缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)锛氶伕鎿囬锛堝柈閬革級 绱� 5 鍒�銆佸垽鏂烽锛堝苟瑾�(shu艒)鏄庣悊鐢憋級绱� 10 鍒�銆佽▓(j矛)绠楅绱� 15 鍒�銆佸晱(w猫n)绛�
椤岋紙2 椤岋紝姣忛 10 鍒嗭級 绱� 20 鍒�銆�
瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)锛氶伕鎿囬锛堝柈閬革級 绱� 5 鍒�銆佸垽鏂烽锛堝苟瑾�(shu艒)鏄庣悊鐢憋級绱� 10 鍒�銆佽▓(j矛)绠楅绱� 15 鍒嗐€佸晱(w猫n)绛�
椤岋紙2 椤�锛屾瘡椤� 10 鍒嗭級 绱� 20 鍒嗐€�
瑷�(j矛)閲忕稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)锛氬垽鏂烽锛�15 鍒嗭級銆佽▓(j矛)绠楅锛�35 鍒嗭級銆�
绗簩閮ㄥ垎 鑰冩煡瑕侀粸(di菐n)
涓€銆佸井瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)
锛堜竴锛夋秷璨�(f猫i)鑰呯悊璜�
闋�(y霉)绠楅泦鍙婃€ц唱(zh矛)锛岄爯(y霉)绠楃窔鍙婂叾璁婂嫊(d貌ng)锛岃▓(j矛)鍍�(ji脿)鐗�锛岀▍鏀�銆佽(b菙)璨煎拰閰嶇郸銆�
娑堣不(f猫i)鑰呭亸濂�锛岄棞(gu膩n)浜庡亸濂界殑鍋囪ō(sh猫)锛屽急鍋忓ソ闆嗭紝鐒�(w煤)宸暟鏇茬窔锛岄倞闅涙浛浠ｇ巼鍙婅В閲�銆�
鏁堢敤鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛屽簭鏁�(sh霉)鏁堢敤锛屽熀鏁�(sh霉)鏁堢敤锛岄倞闅涙晥鐢�锛岄倞闅涙晥鐢ㄨ垏閭婇殯鏇夸唬鐜囩殑闂�(gu膩n)绯�銆�
娑堣不(f猫i)鑰呮渶鍎�(y艒u)閬告搰锛岄渶姹傛潫锛岄渶姹傚嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛岀▍鏀堕鍨嬬殑閬告搰銆�
姝ｅ父鍟嗗搧锛屼綆妾斿晢鍝侊紝鏀跺叆鎻愪緵鏇茬窔锛屾仼鏍肩埦鏇茬窔锛屾櫘閫氬晢鍝�锛屽悏鑺晢鍝�锛屽児(ji脿)鏍兼彁渚涙洸绶氾紝闇€姹傛洸
绶�锛屾浛浠ｈ垏浜掕(b菙)锛屽弽闇€姹傚嚱鏁�(sh霉)銆�
鏇夸唬鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛屾敹鍏ユ晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛屾柉鍕掕尐鍩烘柟绋嬶紝闇€姹傜附璁婂嫊(d貌ng)鐨勬(g貌u)鎴愶紝璁婂嫊(d貌ng)鐜�锛岄渶姹傛硶鍓�锛屾柉鍕掕尐鍩烘浛浠ｆ晥鎳�(y墨ng)
鑸�?锛熸€傚浐濞差専顫�?y墨ng)锛岃(b菙)鍎熼渶姹傛洸绶�銆�
鎴栨湁娑堣不(f猫i)瑷�(j矛)鍔�锛屾湡鏈涙晥鐢ㄥ嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛屽幁鎯￠ⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)锛屽亸濂介ⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)锛岄ⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)涓€с€�
娑堣不(f猫i)鑰呭墿浣欏強鍏惰В閲�锛屾秷璨�(f猫i)鑰呭墿浣欑殑璁婂寲锛岃(b菙)鍎熻畩鍖�锛岀瓑鍍�(ji脿)璁婂寲锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑰呭墿浣欏強鍏惰畩鍖�锛岃▓(j矛)绠楀緱鍒�
鍜屾悕澶便€�
锛堜簩锛夊競鍫�(ch菐ng)
寰炲€�(g猫)浜洪渶姹傚埌甯傚牬(ch菐ng)闇€姹�锛屽競鍫�(ch菐ng)闇€姹傛洸绶�锛岄渶姹傚児(ji脿)鏍煎綀鎬э紝鏀剁泭鍙婂叾鑸囧綀鎬х殑闂�(gu膩n)绯伙紝閭婇殯鏀剁泭鍙婂叾鑸�
褰堟€х殑闂�(gu膩n)绯�锛岄渶姹傛敹鍏ュ綀鎬�銆�
渚涚郸鏇茬窔锛屽競鍫�(ch菐ng)渚涚郸鏇茬窔锛岀(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)锛屽潎琛″児(ji脿)鏍硷紝缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍧囪 锛岀▍鏀跺皪(du矛)鍧囪 鐨勫奖闊�锛岀▍鏀剁殑椤嶅鍑堟悕
澶憋紝甯曠疮鎵樻晥鐜�銆�
锛堜笁锛夌敓鐢�(ch菐n)銆佹垚鏈珫
鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕佺礌锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)闆�锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛岀瓑鐢�(ch菐n)閲忕窔锛屾妧琛�(sh霉)鐨勭壒寰�锛岄倞闅涚敘(ch菐n)鍝佸強鍏堕仦娓涜(gu墨)寰�锛屾妧琛�(sh霉)鏇夸唬鐜囷紝闀�(zh菐ng)
鏈熺敓鐢�(ch菐n)锛岀煭鏈熺敓鐢�(ch菐n)锛岃(gu墨)妯″牨(b脿o)閰強椤炲瀷銆�
鍒╂饯(r霉n)锛屾(j墨)鏈�(hu矛)鎴愭湰锛屼笉璁婅绱�锛屽彲璁婅绱狅紝婧�(zh菙n)涓嶈畩瑕佺礌锛岀煭鏈熷埄娼�(r霉n)鏈€澶у寲锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熷埄娼�(r霉n)鏈€澶у寲锛岄倞闅涚敘(ch菐n)
鍝佸児(ji脿)鍊硷紝瑕佺礌闇€姹傛洸绶�锛屽埄娼�(r霉n)鏈€澶у寲鍜岃(gu墨)妯″牨(b脿o)閰殑闂�(gu膩n)绯汇€�
鎴愭湰鏈€灏忓寲锛屾湁姊濅欢鐨勮绱犻渶姹傦紝瑕�(gu墨)妯″牨(b脿o)閰垏鎴愭湰鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勯棞(gu膩n)绯�锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熸垚鏈嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛岀煭鏈熸垚鏈嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛屼笉
璁婃垚鏈�锛屾簴(zh菙n)涓嶈畩鎴愭湰锛屾矇娌�(m茅i)鎴愭湰銆�
鍙畩鎴愭湰锛屽钩鍧囨垚鏈�锛屽钩鍧囧彲璁婃垚鏈�锛屽钩鍧囦笉璁婃垚鏈�锛岄倞闅涙垚鏈�锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熷钩鍧囨垚鏈紝闀�(zh菐ng)鏈熼倞闅涙垚鏈�锛�
闀�(zh菐ng)鏈熸垚鏈垏鐭湡鎴愭湰鐨勯棞(gu膩n)绯汇€�
锛堝洓锛夊競鍫�(ch菐ng)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)
寤犲晢闈㈣嚚鐨勯渶姹傛洸绶�锛屽畬鍏ㄧ(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)锛岀(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)寤犲晢鐨勪緵绲︽焙绛�锛屽粻鍟嗙煭鏈熶緵绲︽洸绶氾紝鍒╂饯(r霉n)鑸囩敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑰呭墿
浣�锛屽粻鍟嗛暦(zh菐ng)鏈熶緵绲︽洸绶�銆�
鐭湡琛屾キ(y猫)渚涚郸锛岀煭鏈熻妤�(y猫)鍧囪 锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熻妤�(y猫)渚涚郸锛岄暦(zh菐ng)鏈熻妤�(y猫)鍧囪 锛岄浂鍒╂饯(r霉n)鐨勫惈缇╋紝缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)绉熼噾銆�
澹熸柗锛屽鏂峰粻鍟嗙殑鍒╂饯(r霉n)鏈€澶у寲锛屾垚鏈姞鎴愬畾鍍�(ji脿)锛屽鏂风殑浣庢晥鐜囷紝椤嶅鍑堟悕澶�锛岄€犳垚澹熸柗鐨勫師鍥�锛岃嚜
鐒跺鏂凤紝鏈€浣庢晥鐜囪(gu墨)妯�锛屽崱鐗圭埦銆�
鍍�(ji脿)鏍兼瑕栧強涓夌ó椤炲瀷锛屾惌鍞�锛屽叐閮ㄦ敹璨�(f猫i)鍒�锛屽鏂风(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)锛岀敘(ch菐n)鍝佸樊鐣板寲銆�
瑕佺礌甯傚牬(ch菐ng)锛岄倞闅涚敘(ch菐n)鍝佹敹鐩�锛岃卜鏂瑰鏂�锛屼笂娓稿鏂�锛屼笅娓稿鏂�銆�
瀵￠牠澹熸柗锛屽児(ji脿)鏍奸牁(l菒ng)灏�(d菐o)鑰�锛屽児(ji脿)鏍艰拷闅ㄨ€�锛岀敘(ch菐n)閲忛牁(l菒ng)灏�(d菐o)鑰咃紝鐢�(ch菐n)閲忚拷闅ㄨ€�锛屾柉濉斿厠鐖句集鏍兼ā鍨嬶紝鍙よ妯″瀷锛�
浼壒铇(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)妯″瀷锛屼覆璎€锛屽崱鐗圭埦銆�
鍗氬紙璜�锛屾敹鐩婄煩闄�锛屽崰鍎�(y艒u)绛栫暐锛岀磵浠€鍧囪 锛岀磾绛栫暐锛屾贩鍚堢瓥鐣�锛屽洑寰掑洶澧冿紝閲嶅京(f霉)鍗氬紙锛屽簭璨崥寮堛€�
鏈€鍎�(y艒u)鍙嶆噳(y墨ng)锛屽崝(xi茅)瑾�(di脿o)鍗氬紙锛岄浂鍜屽崥寮�锛岄饭榇垮崥寮堬紝鎵胯鍗氬紙锛岃◣鍍�(ji脿)閭勫児(ji脿)妯″瀷銆�
锛堜簲锛変竴鑸潎琛�
灞€閮ㄥ潎琛″垎鏋�锛屼竴鑸潎琛″垎鏋�锛屽焹濂囨矁鎬濇柟妗嗗湒锛屽笗绱墭鏈夋晥閰嶇疆锛屽绱勬洸绶�锛岃秴椤嶉渶姹�锛岀摝鐖炬媺
鏂潎琛�锛岀摝鐖炬媺鏂硶鍓�锛屽潎琛¤垏鏁堢巼锛岀鍒╃稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)绗竴瀹氱悊鍙婂惈缇�锛岀鍒╃稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)绗簩瀹氱悊鍙婂惈缇�銆�
榄勘閬溌峰厠榄储缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑸囩鍒╃稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)瀹氱悊锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍙兘鎬ч泦鍚堬紝鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍙兘鎬ч倞鐣�锛岄倞闅涜綁(zhu菐n)鎻涚巼銆�
锛堝叚锛夌鍒╃稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)
绀炬渻(hu矛)鍋忓ソ锛屼笉鍙兘鎬у畾鐞�锛岀ぞ鏈�(hu矛)绂忓埄鍑芥暩(sh霉)锛屾晥鐢ㄥ彲鑳芥€у強鍜�锛岀瓑绂忓埄绶氾紝骞崇瓑閰嶇疆锛屽叕骞抽厤缃�銆�
娑堣不(f猫i)澶栭儴鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)澶栭儴鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛岀鏂畾鐞嗐€�
鍏叡鐗╁搧鍙婃彁渚涘晱(w猫n)椤�锛屾惌渚胯粖鍟�(w猫n)椤岋紝涓嶅悓姘村钩鐨勫叕鍏辩墿鍝侊紝鎶曠エ姗�(j墨)鍒�锛屽厠鎷夊厠绋�銆�
涓嶅皪(du矛)绋变俊鎭�锛岄€嗗悜閬告搰锛岄亾寰烽ⅷ(f膿ng)闅�(xi菐n)锛屾縺鍕�(l矛)楂旂郴銆�
浜�銆佸畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)
锛堜竴锛夊皫(d菐o)璜�
1. 瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)姒傝堪
瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鑸囧井瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勫崁(q奴)鍒ワ紝妯″瀷鐨勫収(n猫i)鐢熻畩閲忓拰澶栫敓璁婇噺锛岄潏娲诲児(ji脿)鏍艰垏绮樻€у児(ji脿)鏍硷紝缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐨�
琛伴€€鑸囪暛姊�锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆) GDP 鑸囧け妤�(y猫)锛岄€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鑸囬€氳波绶婄府锛屽競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍑烘竻鑸囧け琛�锛岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡锛屽畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)
鏀跨瓥銆�
2. 瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)璁婇噺鐨勫害閲�
GDP 鐨勫畾缇�銆佸害閲忔柟娉曞強妲�(g貌u)鎴�锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆) GDP銆佸悕缇� GDP 鍙� GDP 绺笡鎸囨暩(sh霉)锛屽湅(gu贸)姘戞敹鍏ヨ超鎴跺強鍦�(gu贸)姘戠敓鐢�(ch菐n)
绺藉€硷紙GNP锛�銆佸湅(gu贸)鍏�(n猫i)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍑堝€硷紙NDP锛�銆佸湅(gu贸)姘戞敹鍏ワ紙NI锛夈€佸€�(g猫)浜烘敹鍏ワ紙PI锛�銆佸€�(g猫)浜哄彲鏀厤鏀跺叆锛圖PI锛�
鐨勮▓(j矛)绠�锛屾秷璨�(f猫i)銆佹姇璩�銆佹斂搴滄敮鍑鸿垏鍑堝嚭鍙ｇ殑鍚京鍙婁富瑕佹(g貌u)鎴愶紝娑堣不(f猫i)鑰呭児(ji脿)鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)锛圕PI锛�,鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑰�
鍍�(ji脿)鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)锛圥PI锛夊強鍏惰垏 GDP 绺笡鎸囨暩(sh霉)鍦ㄨ▓(j矛)绠椾笂鐨勫樊鍒�锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍔涖€佸嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍙冭垏鐜�銆佸け妤�(y猫)鐜囧強鍏惰▓(j矛)绠楋紝
鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)渚涚郸銆佸嫗鍕�(d貌ng)闇€姹傝垏鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鍔涘競鍫�(ch菐ng)鍧囪 锛屽ェ鑲畾寰嬨€�
锛堜簩锛夊畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐨勪富瑕佸晱(w猫n)椤�
1. 鍦�(gu贸)姘戞敹鍏ョ殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑸囧垎閰�
绺介噺鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍑芥暩(sh霉)銆佺敓鐢�(ch菐n)瑕佺礌鑸囩敘(ch菐n)鍑猴紝瑕�(gu墨)妯″牨(b脿o)閰笉璁�銆侀仦澧炲拰閬炴笡锛岃绱犵殑閭婇殯鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佸強鍏堕仦娓涜(gu墨)寰�锛�
瀹屽叏绔�(j矛ng)鐖�(zh膿ng)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)鑸囪绱犲児(ji脿)鏍硷紝鐪熷(sh铆)宸ヨ硣鑸囪硣鏈殑鐪熷(sh铆)绉熻硟鍍�(ji脿)鏍�锛岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍒╂饯(r霉n)鑸囨渻(hu矛)瑷�(j矛)鍒╂饯(r霉n)锛屾秷璨�(f猫i)鍑芥暩(sh霉)
鑸囬倞闅涙秷璨�(f猫i)鍌惧悜锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆)鍒╃巼鑸囧悕缇╁埄鐜�锛屽湅(gu贸)姘戝劜(ch菙)钃�銆佸叕鍏卞劜(ch菙)钃勮垏绉佷汉鍎�(ch菙)钃勶紝鍙哺璩囬噾甯傚牬(ch菐ng)鍙婂叾
鍧囪 姊濅欢锛屾斂搴滄敮鍑虹殑鎿犲嚭鏁堟噳(y墨ng)銆�
2. 澶辨キ(y猫)
鑷劧澶辨キ(y猫)鐜囧強鍏惰垏闆㈣伔鐜囧拰鎵惧埌宸ヤ綔鐨勬鐜囦箣闁撶殑闂�(gu膩n)绯�锛屾懇鎿︽€уけ妤�(y猫)銆佺瓑寰呮€уけ妤�(y猫)鍜屽懆鏈熸€уけ
妤�(y猫)锛岃嚜鎰垮け妤�(y猫)鑸囬潪鑷効澶辨キ(y猫)锛屾渶浣庡伐璩囨硶銆佸伐鏈�(hu矛)鑸囨晥鐜囧伐璩囧亣瑾�(shu艒)灏�(du矛)绛夊緟鎬уけ妤�(y猫)鐨勫奖闊�锛岀祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)璁�
鍕�(d貌ng)鍜屽け妤�(y猫)鏁戞繜(j矛)閲戝皪(du矛)鎽╂摝鎬уけ妤�(y猫)鐨勫奖闊匡紝闀�(zh菐ng)鏈熷け妤�(y猫)鑰�锛屽浣曡В閲嬬編鍦�(gu贸)鍜屾瓙娲茬殑澶辨キ(y猫)鏁�(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)銆�
3. 璨ㄥ梗鑸囬€氳波鑶ㄨ劰
璨ㄥ梗鍙婂叾涓昏鍔熻兘锛屾硶瀹氳波骞ｈ垏鍟嗗搧璨ㄥ梗锛岄€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鑸囨儭鎬ч€氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛岃波骞ｄ緵绲﹁垏璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥锛�
涓ぎ閵€琛屽強鍏跺叕闁�(k膩i)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)锛岀従(xi脿n)閳斻€佹椿鏈熷瓨娆捐垏瀹氭湡瀛樻锛屽畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)涓皪(du矛)璨ㄥ梗鐨勫妰鍒嗭紙M0銆�
M1銆丮2 绛夛級锛岃波骞ｆ暩(sh霉)閲忚珫锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆)璨ㄥ梗浣欓锛岃波骞ｉ渶姹傚嚱鏁�(sh霉)锛岃波骞ｆ祦閫氶€熷害锛岄憚骞ｇ▍锛岃不(f猫i)闆柟绋�
鑸囪不(f猫i)闆晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛屼簨鍓嶈垏浜嬪悗鐪熷(sh铆)鍒╃巼锛岀（闉嬪簳鎴愭湰鑸囪彍鍠垚鏈�锛岃波骞ｄ腑鎬ц垏鍙ゅ吀浜屽垎娉�锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆)璁�
閲忓拰鍚嶇京璁婇噺锛岄€氳波鑶ㄨ劰鐨勭稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏁堟噳(y墨ng)銆�
4. 闁�(k膩i)鏀剧稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)
鍑堝嚭鍙ｈ垏鍑堣硣鏈祦鍑洪噺锛岃部(m脿o)鏄撲綑椤�銆佽部(m脿o)鏄撶泩浣欒垏璨�(m脿o)鏄撹丹瀛楋紝灏忓湅(gu贸)闁�(k膩i)鏀剧稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)锛屽悕缇╄垏鐪熷(sh铆)鍖巼锛�
璩�(g貌u)璨峰姏骞冲児(ji脿)鍋囪(shu艒)锛屼笘鐣屽埄鐜�锛屽尟鐜囧強鍏舵(bi膩o)鍍�(ji脿)鏂规硶锛屽浐瀹氬尟鐜囪垏娴嫊(d貌ng)鍖巼銆�
锛堜笁锛夐暦(zh菐ng)鏈熷闀�(zh菐ng)鐞嗚珫
1. 鏂板彜鍏稿闀�(zh菐ng)鐞嗚珫
鍎�(ch菙)钃勭巼鍙婂叾鍦ㄧ储娲涘闀�(zh菐ng)妯″瀷涓皪(du矛)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑烘按骞冲拰璩囨湰瀛橀噺鐨勫奖闊匡紝绌�(w臎n)鎱�(t脿i)鍙婂叾瑷�(j矛)绠�锛屼汉鍙ｅ闀�(zh菐ng)鐜囧皪(du矛)绺�
鐢�(ch菐n)鍑鸿垏浜哄潎鐢�(ch菐n)鍑虹殑褰遍熆锛岄粌閲戞硶鍓囩殑璩囨湰姘村钩鍙婂叾瑷�(j矛)绠�锛岃(di脿o)鏁村劜(ch菙)钃勭巼閬�(d谩)鍒伴粌閲戠┅(w臎n)鎱�(t脿i)鏅�(sh铆)娑堣不(f猫i)鍜岀敘(ch菐n)
鍑虹殑鍕�(d貌ng)鎱�(t脿i)瑾�(di脿o)鏁撮亷(gu貌)绋�銆�
2. 鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ュ皪(du矛)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勫奖闊�
鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ョ巼鍦ㄧ储娲涙ā鍨嬩腑灏�(du矛)浜哄潎鐢�(ch菐n)鍑虹殑褰遍熆锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍔涚殑鏁堢巼锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)绡€(ji茅)绱勫瀷鐨勬妧琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ワ紝鍏�(n猫i)鐢熷
闀�(zh菐ng)鐞嗚珫鍙婂叾灏�(du矛)鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ョ殑閫�(j矛n)涓€姝ヨВ閲�锛屽叏瑕佺礌鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囧拰绱㈡礇浣欓爡(xi脿ng)銆�
锛堝洓锛夌煭鏈熸尝鍕�(d貌ng)鐞嗚珫
1. 缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)娉㈠嫊(d貌ng)姒傝堪
绺介渶姹傝垏绺介渶姹傛矕鎿婏紝绺戒緵绲﹁垏绺戒緵绲︽矕鎿�锛岃波骞ｆ暩(sh霉)閲忔柟绋嬭垏绺介渶姹傛洸绶氬彸涓嬪偩鏂滅殑鎺ㄥ皫(d菐o)锛岀煭
鏈熻垏闀�(zh菐ng)鏈熶腑鐨勭附渚涚郸鏇茬窔銆�
2. IS-LM 妯″瀷
鍑辨仼鏂殑绨�(ji菐n)鍠湅(gu贸)姘戞敹鍏ユ焙瀹氬湒鑸� IS 鏇茬窔鐨勬帹灏�(d菐o)锛屽嚤鎭╂柉鐨勬祦鍕�(d貌ng)鎬у亸濂界悊璜栬垏 LM 鏇茬窔鐨勬帹灏�(d菐o)锛�
鏀垮簻鏀嚭鍜岀▍鏀剁殑涔樻暩(sh霉)鏁堟噳(y墨ng)锛屽(sh铆)闅涙敮鍑鸿垏瑷�(j矛)鍔冩敮鍑�锛孖S-LM 妯″瀷鐨勮▓(j矛)绠楀強鍩烘湰鐨勬斂绛栧惈缇┿€�
3. IS-LM 妯″瀷鐨勬斂绛栧惈缇�
寰� IS-LM 妯″瀷鎺ㄥ皫(d菐o)鍑哄彸涓嬪偩鏂滅殑绺介渶姹傛洸绶�锛屾斂搴滄敮鍑哄拰绋呮敹鏀跨瓥灏�(du矛)瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)璁婇噺鐨勫奖闊匡紝涓�
澶妧琛岀殑璨ㄥ梗鏀跨瓥灏�(du矛)瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)璁婇噺鐨勫奖闊�锛岃波骞ｅ偝灏�(d菐o)姗�(j墨)鍒�锛屽簢鍙ゆ晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛屽偟鍕�(w霉)-閫氱府鐞嗚珫锛屽児(ji脿)鏍间笅
闄嶅皪(du矛)鏀跺叆鐨勫奖闊垮強鍏舵(j墨)鍒�銆�
4. 钂欎唬鐖�-寮楄悐鏄庢ā鍨�
灏忓湅(gu贸)闁�(k膩i)鏀惧瀷缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)涓殑 IS-LM 妯″瀷锛屾诞鍕�(d貌ng)鍖巼鍜屽浐瀹氬尟鐜囧埗搴︿笅鐨勬斂绛栨晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛屼笁瑙掍笉鍙兘瀹氬緥
5. 绺戒緵绲︽洸绶�
绺戒緵绲︽洸绶氬強鍏跺彸涓婂偩鏂滅殑鐞嗚珫瑙ｉ噵锛岀矘鎬у伐璩囨ā鍨�锛屼笉瀹屽叏淇℃伅妯″瀷锛岀矘鎬у児(ji脿)鏍兼ā鍨�锛屽伐浜�
閷�(cu貌)瑕�(ju茅)妯″瀷锛岃彶鍒╂櫘鏂洸绶�锛岄仼鎳�(y墨ng)鎬ч爯(y霉)鏈熻垏鐞嗘€ч爯(y霉)鏈燂紝闇€姹傛媺鍕�(d貌ng)鑸囨垚鏈帹鍕�(d貌ng)閫氳波鑶ㄨ劰锛岃嚜鐒跺け妤�(y猫)
鐜囪垏閬叉化鏁堟噳(y墨ng)銆�
6锛� AS-AD 妯″瀷鍙婂叾鏀跨瓥鍚京
AS-AD 妯″瀷鐨勫潎琛�锛屽閮ㄦ矕鎿婂皪(du矛)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄拰鍍�(ji脿)鏍肩殑褰遍熆锛孉S-AD 妯″瀷涓殑璨ㄥ梗涓€�锛岄枊(k膩i)鏀剧稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐨� AS-AD
妯″瀷銆�
锛堜簲锛夊畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏀跨瓥
1. 绌�(w臎n)瀹氭斂绛�
鏀跨瓥鍒跺畾鑸囧(sh铆)鏂界殑鍏�(n猫i)閮ㄦ化鍚庡拰澶栭儴婊悗锛岀洤鍗℃柉鎵瑰垽鍙婂叾鏀跨瓥鍚京锛屽厛琛屾寚妯�(bi膩o)锛岃嚜鍕�(d貌ng)绌�(w臎n)瀹氬櫒锛�
鏅�(sh铆)闁撲笉涓€鑷存€�锛岃波骞ｄ富缇�锛屾斂娌诲晢妤�(y猫)鍛ㄦ湡锛屾嘲鍕掕(gu墨)鍓�锛岀浉姗�(j墨)姹虹瓥鍜岃(gu墨)鍓囨焙绛栫殑姣旇純銆�
2. 鏀垮簻鍌靛嫏(w霉)鑸囬爯(y霉)绠楄丹瀛�
璩囨湰闋�(y霉)绠�锛岀稉(j墨ng)閬�(gu貌)鍛ㄦ湡鎬ц(di脿o)鏁寸殑闋�(y霉)绠楄丹瀛�锛屾潕鍢夊湒绛夊児(ji脿)鍛介鍙婂叾灏�(du矛)璨�(c谩i)鏀挎斂绛栨湁鏁堟€х殑璩�(zh矛)鐤�锛屾斂搴�
鍌靛嫏(w霉)鑸囬爯(y霉)绠楄丹瀛楃殑缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)褰遍熆锛岄伜璐�(z猫ng)鍕�(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)銆�
锛堝叚锛夊畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勫井瑙€鍩虹(ch菙)
1. 娑堣不(f猫i)鐞嗚珫
閭婇殯娑堣不(f猫i)鍌惧悜锛屽钩鍧囨秷璨�(f猫i)鍌惧悜锛岃法鏅�(sh铆)闋�(y霉)绠楃磩鏉燂紝璨肩従(xi脿n)锛岄倞闅涙浛浠ｇ巼锛屾敹鍏ユ晥鎳�(y墨ng)鑸囨浛浠ｆ晥鎳�(y墨ng)锛岀敓
鍛藉懆鏈熷亣瑾�(shu艒)锛岄爯(y霉)闃叉€у劜(ch菙)钃勶紝鎸佷箙鏀跺叆鍋囪(shu艒)锛屾寔涔呮敹鍏ヨ垏鏆檪(sh铆)鏀跺叆锛屽€熻哺绱勬潫锛岄毃姗�(j墨)娓歌蛋鍋囪(shu艒)锛�
鍙婃檪(sh铆)浜▊(l猫)鍋囪(shu艒)銆�
2. 鎶曡硣鐞嗚珫
浼佹キ(y猫)鍥哄畾鎶曡硣銆佸搴綇鎴挎姇璩囧拰瀛樿波鎶曡硣锛屾柊鍙ゅ吀鎶曡硣妯″瀷锛屾姌鑸婏紝璩囨湰鐨勭湡瀵�(sh铆)鎴愭湰锛屽噲鎶曡硣锛�
鍏徃鏀跺叆绋咃紝鎶曡硣绋呮敹淇¤哺锛岃偂绁ㄨ垏鑲＄エ甯傚牬(ch菐ng)锛屾墭璩撶殑 q 鐞嗚珫锛岃瀺璩囩磩鏉�锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍧囧嫽锛屼綔鐐虹敓
鐢�(ch菐n)瑕佺礌涔嬩竴鐨勫瓨璨紝閬垮厤缂鸿波鐨勫嫊(d貌ng)姗�(j墨)锛屽崐鎴愬搧锛屽姞閫熸暩(sh霉)妯″瀷銆�
3. 璨ㄥ梗渚涚郸鑸囪波骞ｉ渶姹�
淇濊瓑閲�锛�100%淇濊瓑閲戝埗搴︼紝姣斾緥淇濊瓑閲戝埗搴�锛岄噾铻嶄腑浠�锛屽熀绀�(ch菙)璨ㄥ梗锛屼繚璀夐噾-瀛樻姣斾緥锛岀従(xi脿n)閳�-
瀛樻姣斾緥锛岃波骞ｄ箻鏁�(sh霉)锛岄珮鑳借波骞�锛屽叕闁�(k膩i)甯傚牬(ch菐ng)妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)锛岄亷(gu貌)搴︽簴(zh菙n)鍌欓噾锛岃瓑鍒告姇璩囩祫鍚堢悊璜�锛岄畱榛樼埦-
鎵樿硴妯″瀷锛屾簴(zh菙n)璨ㄥ梗锛岃波骞ｉ渶姹傜殑璩囩敘(ch菐n)绲勫悎鐞嗚珫鍜屼氦鏄撶悊璜栥€�
4. 鐪熷(sh铆)鍟嗘キ(y猫)鍛ㄦ湡鐞嗚珫
鐪熷(sh铆)鍟嗘キ(y猫)鍛ㄦ湡锛圧BC锛夌悊璜栬垏鏂板嚤鎭╂柉缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鐨勮法鏅�(sh铆)鏇夸唬锛岀附闇€姹傜殑澶栭儴鎬�锛屽崝(xi茅)瑾�(di脿o)澶辨晽鐞�
璜�锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍎�(ch菙)鍌�锛屾柊鍙ゅ吀缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)锛岀湡瀵�(sh铆)鍟嗘キ(y猫)鍛ㄦ湡鐞嗚珫灏�(du矛)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)娉㈠嫊(d貌ng)鐨勬牴婧愬拰鍌冲皫(d菐o)姗�(j墨)鍒剁殑瑙ｉ噵銆�
涓�銆佽▓(j矛)閲忕稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)
锛堜竴锛夎▓(j矛)閲忕稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勬湁闂�(gu膩n)姒傚康
鍥炴鐨勫惈缇�銆佺当(t菕ng)瑷�(j矛)闂�(gu膩n)绯昏垏纰哄畾鎬ч棞(gu膩n)绯汇€佸洖姝歌垏鍥犳灉闂�(gu膩n)绯�銆佹暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)椤炲瀷鍙婂叾渚�(l谩i)婧愩€佺附楂斿洖姝稿嚱鏁�(sh霉)鐨勬蹇�銆�
妯ｆ湰鍥炴鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勬蹇�銆佺窔鎬х殑鍚京銆佹畼宸拰闅ㄦ(j墨)骞叉摼闋�(xi脿ng)鐨勫惈缇�銆�
锛堜簩锛夌稉(j墨ng)鍏哥窔鎬у洖姝告ā鍨嬬殑浼拌▓(j矛)鍙婂亣瑷�(sh猫)鎺ㄦ柗
鏅€氭渶灏忎簩涔樻硶銆佺窔鎬фā鍨嬫櫘閫氭渶灏忎簩涔樻硶浼拌▓(j矛)鐨勬€ц唱(zh矛)銆佺稉(j墨ng)鍏哥窔鎬у洖姝告ā鍨嬶紙CLRM锛夌殑鍋囪ō(sh猫)銆侀珮鏂�
鈥旈Μ鐖剧澶畾鐞嗐€佸垽瀹氱郴鏁�(sh霉)鑸囦慨姝ｇ殑鍒ゅ畾绯绘暩(sh霉)鐨勬€ц唱(zh矛)鍙婂叾鑸囨ǎ鏈浉闂�(gu膩n)绯绘暩(sh霉)鐨勮伅(li谩n)绯�銆佹摼鍕�(d貌ng)闋�(xi脿ng)鐨勬鎱�(t脿i)瑷�(sh猫)
瀹�銆佸湪鎿惧嫊(d貌ng)闋�(xi脿ng)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)鎬цō(sh猫)瀹氫笅 OLS 浼拌▓(j矛)閲忕殑鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛�
t 妾㈤(y脿n)銆亁 妾㈤(y脿n)銆丗 妾㈤(y脿n)銆佺疆淇″崁(q奴)闁撲及瑷�(j矛)銆佺疆淇″崁(q奴)闁撳亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)銆侀’钁楁€у亣瑷�(sh猫)鐮旂┒銆佸潎鍊奸爯(y霉)娓�(c猫)鑸囧€�(g猫)鍊奸爯(y霉)
娓�(c猫)銆佸洖姝哥祼(ji茅)鏋滅殑瑭�(p铆ng)鍍�(ji脿)銆侀亷(gu貌)鍘熼粸(di菐n)鍥炴鑸囦笉閬�(gu貌)鍘熼粸(di菐n)鍥炴鐨勭暟鍚�銆佸昂搴﹁垏娓�(c猫)閲忓柈浣嶅皪(du矛)浼拌▓(j矛)鐨勫奖闊�锛�
灏�(du矛)鏁�(sh霉)绶氭€фā鍨嬬殑鐗瑰緛銆佸崐灏�(du矛)鏁�(sh霉)妯″瀷鐨勭壒寰併€佸€掓暩(sh霉)妯″瀷鐨勭壒寰�锛�
鍋忓洖姝哥郴鏁�(sh霉)鐨勫惈缇�銆佺啊(ji菐n)鍠垏鍋忕浉闂�(gu膩n)绯绘暩(sh霉)銆佸亸鍥炴绯绘暩(sh霉)鐨勫亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)銆佹ā鍨嬬附鐨勯’钁楁€ф椹�(y脿n)锛�
鍙楃磩鏉熺殑鏈€灏忎簩涔樻硶銆侀剴鑷宠帄妾㈤(y脿n)锛�
瀹氭€ц畩閲忚垏铏涙摤璁婇噺鐨勬蹇�銆佽櫅 鎿畩閲忕殑瑷�(sh猫)缃�銆佷娇鐢ㄨ櫅鎿畩閲忕殑浜や簰鏁堟噳(y墨ng)銆佽櫅鎿畩閲忓湪瀛ｇ瘈(ji茅)鍒嗘瀽銆�
鍒嗘绶氭€у洖姝镐腑鐨勬噳(y墨ng)鐢�銆�
锛堜笁锛夋斁鏉剧稉(j墨ng)鍏告ā鍨嬬殑浼拌▓(j矛)鍙婂亣瑷�(sh猫)鎺ㄦ柗
澶氶噸鍏辩窔鎬х殑鎬ц唱(zh矛)銆佸悗鏋�銆佹娓�(c猫)锛堝伒鏌ワ級鏂规硶銆佽(b菙)鏁戞帾鏂�锛�
鐣版柟宸殑鎬ц唱(zh矛)銆佸悗鏋�銆佹娓�(c猫)锛堝伒鏌ワ級鏂规硶銆佽(b菙)鏁戞帾鏂斤紱
鑷浉闂�(gu膩n)鐨勬€ц唱(zh矛)銆佸悗鏋溿€佹娓�(c猫)锛堝伒鏌ワ級鏂规硶銆佽(b菙)鏁戞帾鏂斤紱
妯″瀷瑷�(sh猫)瀹氱殑绋銆佽ō(sh猫)瀹氬亸瑾ょ殑鎬ц唱(zh矛)銆佸悗鏋�銆佹娓�(c猫)锛堝伒鏌ワ級鏂规硶銆佽(b菙)鏁戞帾鏂姐€�
瑁�(b菙)鍏呰(shu艒)鏄庯細瑕佹眰鑳藉閬�(y霉n)鐢ㄥ井瀹忚缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勬湁闂�(gu膩n)鐞嗚珫鍜屾柟娉曞垎鏋愪腑鍦�(gu贸)鐨勭従(xi脿n)瀵�(sh铆)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍟�(w猫n)椤�銆�
鍏嶈铂(z茅)鑱叉槑锛氭湰鏂囩郴杞�(zhu菐n)杓夎嚜缍�(w菐ng)绲�(lu貌)锛屽鏈変镜鐘�锛岃珛(q菒ng)鑱�(li谩n)绯绘垜鍊戠珛鍗冲埅闄�锛屽彟锛氭湰鏂囧儏浠ｈ〃浣滆€呭€�(g猫)浜鸿榛�(di菐n)锛岃垏鏈恫(w菐ng)绔欑劇(w煤)闂�(gu膩n)銆傚叾鍘熷壍(chu脿ng)鎬т互鍙婃枃涓櫝杩版枃瀛楀拰鍏�(n猫i)瀹规湭缍�(j墨ng)鏈珯璀夊(sh铆)锛屽皪(du矛)鏈枃浠ュ強鍏朵腑鍏ㄩ儴鎴栬€呴儴鍒嗗収(n猫i)瀹�銆佹枃瀛楃殑鐪熷(sh铆)鎬�銆佸畬鏁存€�銆佸強鏅�(sh铆)鎬ф湰绔欎笉浣滀换浣曚繚璀夋垨鎵胯锛岃珛(q菒ng)璁€鑰呭儏浣滃弮鑰冿紝骞惰珛(q菒ng)鑷鏍稿(sh铆)鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鍏�(n猫i)瀹�銆�
|
鏂囩珷鎼滅储
鎮ㄧ従(xi脿n)鍦ㄧ殑浣嶇疆锛� 
