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鍙嬫儏鎻愮ず锛氭湰绔欐彁渚涘叏鍦�(gu贸)400澶氭墍楂樼瓑闄㈡牎鎷涙敹纰╁＋銆佸崥澹爺绌剁敓鍏ュ(xu茅)鑰冭│姝峰勾鑰冪爺鐪熼銆佽€冨崥鐪熼銆佺瓟妗�锛岄儴鍒嗗(xu茅)鏍℃洿鏂拌嚦2012骞达紝2013骞�锛涘潎鎻愪緵鏀惰不(f猫i)涓嬭級銆� 涓嬭級娴佺▼锛� 鑰冪爺鐪熼 榛�(di菐n)鎿娾€�鑰冪爺瑭﹀嵎鈥濃€濅笅杓�; 鑰冨崥鐪熼 榛�(di菐n)鎿娾€�鑰冨崥瑭﹀嵎搴�(k霉)鈥� 涓嬭級
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姒傜巼璜栬垏鏁�(sh霉)鐞嗙当(t菕ng)瑷�(j矛)
涓€銆侀毃姗�(j墨)浜嬩欢鍜屾鐜�
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
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姒傚康姒傜巼鐨勫熀鏈€ц唱(zh矛)鍙ゅ吀鍨嬫鐜囧咕浣曞瀷姒傜巼姊濅欢姒傜巼姒傜巼
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鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.浜嗚В妯ｆ湰绌洪枔锛堝熀鏈簨浠剁┖闁擄級鐨勬蹇�锛岀悊瑙ｉ毃姗�(j墨)浜嬩欢鐨�
姒傚康锛屾帉鎻′簨浠剁殑闂�(gu膩n)绯诲強閬�(y霉n)绠�
2.鐞嗚В姒傜巼銆佹浠舵鐜囩殑姒傚康锛屾帉鎻℃鐜囩殑鍩烘湰鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛屾渻(hu矛)瑷�(j矛)
绠楀彜鍏稿瀷姒傜巼鍜屽咕浣曞瀷姒傜巼锛屾帉鎻℃鐜囩殑鍔犳硶鍏紡銆佹笡娉曞叕
寮�銆佷箻娉曞叕寮�銆佸叏姒傜巼鍏紡浠ュ強璨濊憠鏂紙Bayes锛夊叕寮�
3.鐞嗚В浜嬩欢鐛�(d煤)绔嬫€х殑姒傚康锛屾帉鎻＄敤浜嬩欢鐛�(d煤)绔嬫€ч€�(j矛n)琛屾鐜囪▓(j矛)绠楋紱
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浜�銆侀毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍙婂叾鍒嗗竷
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鍒嗗竷鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勬蹇靛強鍏舵€ц唱(zh矛)闆㈡暎鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁�
閲忕殑姒傜巼鍒嗗竷閫ｇ簩(x霉)鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬鐜囧瘑搴﹀父瑕嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨�
鍒嗗竷闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勫垎甯�
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬蹇碉紝鐞嗚В鍒嗗竷鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勬蹇靛強鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛屾渻(hu矛)瑷�(j矛)
绠楄垏闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐩歌伅(li谩n)绯荤殑浜嬩欢鐨勬鐜�
2.鐞嗚В闆㈡暎鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍙婂叾姒傜巼鍒嗗竷鐨勬蹇�锛屾帉鎻� 0-1 鍒嗗竷銆�
浜岄爡(xi脿ng)鍒嗗竷銆佸咕浣曞垎甯冦€佽秴骞句綍鍒嗗竷銆佹硦鏉撅紙Poisson锛夊垎甯�
鍙婂叾鎳�(y墨ng)鐢�
3.浜嗚В娉婃澗瀹氱悊鐨勭祼(ji茅)璜栧拰鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ浠讹紝鏈�(hu矛)鐢ㄦ硦鏉惧垎甯冭繎浼艰〃绀�
浜岄爡(xi脿ng)鍒嗗竷
4.鐞嗚В閫ｇ簩(x霉)鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍙婂叾姒傜巼瀵嗗害鐨勬蹇�锛屾帉鎻″潎鍕诲垎甯�銆�
姝ｆ厠(t脿i)鍒嗗竷銆佹寚鏁�(sh霉)鍒嗗竷鍙婂叾鎳�(y墨ng)鐢�
5.鏈�(hu矛)姹傞毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勫垎甯�
涓�銆佸缍毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍙婂叾鍒嗗竷
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
澶氱董闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鍙婂叾鍒嗗竷浜岀董闆㈡暎鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬鐜囧垎甯�銆侀倞
绶ｅ垎甯冨拰姊濅欢鍒嗗竷浜岀董閫ｇ簩(x霉)鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬鐜囧瘑搴︺€侀倞绶ｆ
鐜囧瘑搴﹀拰姊濅欢瀵嗗害闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勭崹(d煤)绔嬫€у拰涓嶇浉闂�(gu膩n)鎬у父鐢ㄤ簩缍�
闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勫垎甯冨叐鍊�(g猫)鍙婂叐鍊�(g猫)浠ヤ笂闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺绨�(ji菐n)鍠嚱鏁�(sh霉)鐨勫垎甯�
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В澶氱董闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬蹇�锛岀悊瑙ｅ缍毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勫垎甯冪殑姒�
蹇靛拰鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛岀悊瑙ｄ簩缍洟鏁ｅ瀷闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬鐜囧垎甯�銆侀倞绶ｅ垎甯�
鍜屾浠跺垎甯�锛岀悊瑙ｄ簩缍€ｇ簩(x霉)鍨嬮毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬鐜囧瘑搴�銆侀倞绶ｅ瘑
搴﹀拰姊濅欢瀵嗗害锛屾渻(hu矛)姹傝垏浜岀董闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐩搁棞(gu膩n)浜嬩欢鐨勬鐜�
2.鐞嗚В闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勭崹(d煤)绔嬫€у強涓嶇浉闂�(gu膩n)鎬х殑姒傚康锛屾帉鎻￠毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺
鐩镐簰鐛�(d煤)绔嬬殑姊濅欢
3.鎺屾彙浜岀董鍧囧嫽鍒嗗竷锛屼簡瑙ｄ簩缍鎱�(t脿i)鍒嗗竷鐨勬鐜囧瘑搴�锛岀悊瑙�
鍏朵腑鍙冩暩(sh霉)鐨勬鐜囨剰缇�
4.鏈�(hu矛)姹傚叐鍊�(g猫)闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺绨�(ji菐n)鍠嚱鏁�(sh霉)鐨勫垎甯�锛屾渻(hu矛)姹傚鍊�(g猫)鐩镐簰鐛�(d煤)绔嬮毃
姗�(j墨)璁婇噺绨�(ji菐n)鍠嚱鏁�(sh霉)鐨勫垎甯�
鍥�銆侀毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬暩(sh霉)瀛楃壒寰�
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鐨勬暩(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鏈熸湜锛堝潎鍊硷級銆佹柟宸�銆佹(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)宸強鍏舵€ц唱(zh矛)闅ㄦ(j墨)
璁婇噺鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勬暩(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鏈熸湜鐭�銆佸崝(xi茅)鏂瑰樊銆佺浉闂�(gu膩n)绯绘暩(sh霉)鍙婂叾鎬ц唱(zh矛)
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺鏁�(sh霉)瀛楃壒寰侊紙鏁�(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鏈熸湜銆佹柟宸�銆佹(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)宸€佺煩銆�
鍗�(xi茅)鏂瑰樊銆佺浉闂�(gu膩n)绯绘暩(sh霉)锛夌殑姒傚康锛屾渻(hu矛)閬�(y霉n)鐢ㄦ暩(sh霉)瀛楃壒寰佺殑鍩烘湰鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛�
骞舵帉鎻″父鐢ㄥ垎甯冪殑鏁�(sh霉)瀛楃壒寰�
2.鏈�(hu矛)姹傞毃姗�(j墨)璁婇噺鍑芥暩(sh霉)鐨勬暩(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鏈熸湜
浜�銆佸ぇ鏁�(sh霉)瀹氬緥鍜屼腑蹇冩サ闄愬畾鐞�
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
鍒囨瘮闆か锛圕hebyshev锛変笉绛夊紡鍒囨瘮闆か澶ф暩(sh霉)瀹氬緥浼姫鍒�
锛圔ernoulli锛夊ぇ鏁�(sh霉)瀹氬緥杈涙锛圞hinchine锛夊ぇ鏁�(sh霉)瀹氬緥妫ｈ帿寮�-
鎷夋櫘鎷夋柉锛圖eMoivre-Laplace锛夊畾鐞嗗垪缍�-鏋楀痉浼牸
锛圠evy-Lindberg锛夊畾鐞�
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.浜嗚В鍒囨瘮闆か涓嶇瓑寮�
2.浜嗚В鍒囨瘮闆か澶ф暩(sh霉)瀹氬緥銆佷集鍔埄澶ф暩(sh霉)瀹氬緥鍜岃緵娆藉ぇ鏁�(sh霉)瀹氬緥
锛堢崹(d煤)绔嬪悓鍒嗗竷闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺搴忓垪鐨勫ぇ鏁�(sh霉)瀹氬緥锛�
3.浜嗚В妫ｈ帿寮�-鎷夋櫘鎷夋柉瀹氱悊锛堜簩闋�(xi脿ng)鍒嗗竷浠ユ鎱�(t脿i)鍒嗗竷鐐烘サ闄愬垎
甯冿級鍜屽垪缍�-鏋楀痉浼牸瀹氱悊锛堢崹(d煤)绔嬪悓鍒嗗竷闅ㄦ(j墨)璁婇噺搴忓垪鐨勪腑蹇�
妤甸檺瀹氱悊锛�
鍏�銆佹暩(sh霉)鐞嗙当(t菕ng)瑷�(j矛)鐨勫熀鏈蹇�
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
绺介珨鍊�(g猫)楂旂啊(ji菐n)鍠毃姗�(j墨)妯ｆ湰绲�(t菕ng)瑷�(j矛)閲忔ǎ鏈潎鍊兼ǎ鏈柟宸拰妯ｆ湰鐭�
鍒嗗竷鍒嗗竷鍒嗗竷鍒嗕綅鏁�(sh霉)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫父鐢ㄦ娊妯ｅ垎甯�
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В绺介珨銆佺啊(ji菐n)鍠毃姗�(j墨)妯ｆ湰銆佺当(t菕ng)瑷�(j矛)閲忋€佹ǎ鏈潎鍊�銆佹ǎ鏈柟宸�
鍙婃ǎ鏈煩鐨勬蹇�
2.浜嗚В鍒嗗竷銆佸垎甯冨拰鍒嗗竷鐨勬蹇靛強鎬ц唱(zh矛)锛屼簡瑙ｄ笂鍋�(c猫)鍒嗕綅鏁�(sh霉)鐨�
姒傚康骞舵渻(hu矛)鏌ヨ〃瑷�(j矛)绠�
3.浜嗚В姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫父鐢ㄦ娊妯ｅ垎甯�
涓�銆佸弮鏁�(sh霉)浼拌▓(j矛)
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
榛�(di菐n)浼拌▓(j矛)鐨勬蹇典及瑷�(j矛)閲忚垏浼拌▓(j矛)鍊肩煩浼拌▓(j矛)娉曟渶澶т技鐒朵及瑷�(j矛)娉曚及
瑷�(j矛)閲忕殑瑭�(p铆ng)閬告(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)鍗€(q奴)闁撲及瑷�(j矛)鐨勬蹇靛柈鍊�(g猫)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫潎鍊煎拰鏂�
宸殑鍗€(q奴)闁撲及瑷�(j矛)鍏╁€�(g猫)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫潎鍊煎樊鍜屾柟宸瘮鐨勫崁(q奴)闁撲及瑷�(j矛)
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В鍙冩暩(sh霉)鐨勯粸(di菐n)浼拌▓(j矛)銆佷及瑷�(j矛)閲忚垏浼拌▓(j矛)鍊肩殑姒傚康
2.鎺屾彙鐭╀及瑷�(j矛)娉曪紙涓€闅庣煩銆佷簩闅庣煩锛夊拰鏈€澶т技鐒朵及瑷�(j矛)娉�
3.浜嗚В浼拌▓(j矛)閲忕殑鐒″亸鎬с€佹湁鏁堟€э紙鏈€灏忔柟宸€э級鍜屼竴鑷存€э紙鐩�
鍚堟€э級鐨勬蹇�锛屽苟鏈�(hu矛)椹�(y脿n)璀変及瑷�(j矛)閲忕殑鐒″亸鎬�
4銆佺悊瑙ｅ崁(q奴)闁撲及瑷�(j矛)鐨勬蹇碉紝鏈�(hu矛)姹傚柈鍊�(g猫)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫潎鍊煎拰鏂瑰樊
鐨勭疆淇″崁(q奴)闁�锛屾渻(hu矛)姹傚叐鍊�(g猫)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫潎鍊煎樊鍜屾柟宸瘮鐨勭疆淇″崁(q奴)
闁�
鍏�銆佸亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)
鑰冭│鍏�(n猫i)瀹�
椤憲鎬ф椹�(y脿n)鍋囪ō(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)鐨勫叐椤為尟(cu貌)瑾ゅ柈鍊�(g猫)鍙婂叐鍊�(g猫)姝ｆ厠(t脿i)绺介珨鐨勫潎
鍊煎拰鏂瑰樊鐨勫亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)
鑰冭│瑕佹眰
1.鐞嗚В椤憲鎬ф椹�(y脿n)鐨勫熀鏈€濇兂锛屾帉鎻″亣瑷�(sh猫)妾㈤(y脿n)鐨勫熀鏈椹燂紝
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